Current and Future Changes in Water Quotas for the Most Important Strategic Agricultural Crops in Egypt

Abstract

In recent years, it has become clear that there have been clear changes in water quotas. The research problem is to study and analyze water for the most important winter and summer agricultural crops in Egypt. The research relied on descriptive and quantitative analysis, and the most prominent results were that the water quota during the period (2010-2021) for wheat, sugar beet, beans, clover, and onions increased at an annual growth rate of about 1.7%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.2%, and 1%. It is expected to increase statistically significantly for each of them in the year 2025 by about 17.51%, 21.51%, 19.29%, 33.39%, and 15.2%, respectively. It also became clear that the water quota for winter vegetables decreased at a statistically significant annual rate of about 0.9%, and it is expected to decline by about 13.87% in the year 2025., while the water quota for each of maize, sorghum, cotton, sugarcane, and green fodder increased at a rate of Statistically significant annual growth rates were recorded at approximately 1.8%, 2.4%, 0.97%, 1.4%, and 0.79% for each, respectively. Are expected to increase by approximately 19.2%, 39.1%, 14.05%, 21.2%, and 11.87% by 2025. The statistical significance of the development of water quotas for rice and summer vegetables has not been proven. The study recommends the need to review the current varieties of the most important summer and winter crops and develop a map of crops that can be expanded and others that can be reduced to preserve Egypt's water capacity.